Monday, December 31, 2007
Lately..
So what did I have, a very bad time during december, I lost some money, but still lost about 50-100$ a trading day, so it's in the borders of logic, thursday was a great day for me, I made 178.5$ and returned the confidence to me, it was after some time which I didn't trade since I had to rest from trading for a while..
Today I had a bad day, lost 128$, at one point I was -205$, but I recovered from it a bit, anyways I know what my problem was, I didn't put auto stop loss, so I've lost a lot in the first trade, and then I had to "recover" so I lost more, anyways, next time I just need to remember to put stop loss each time I trade, I used to do it automatically.
One last thing, in addition to what is taped to my screen, I'll be taping "always take the first 40$ out fast", since I think it will help me, I see that many trades I take come 40 dollars up, and then lose, but if I'll start positive, I think I'll have better chance to end the day positive.
Here are some trades:
Sunday, December 23, 2007
Struggle..
For example in the last trading day I've had an impulsive rush to just buy something, I didn't wait for a clear long term nice signal, I've just traded by the 5min chart only, without confirmation from the 15 min chart, I think that I'm doing bad lately because I'm kind of in a rush to trade, whenever I'm not in a rush to trade I either earn money, or just fall asleep, waking up to see that my signal could have been a 100$+ winner(on 1 contract).
On the positive side, didn't have days where I lost more than I allow myelf lately, no blowup days, so I think that I'm in the right way, I just need to tape to my screen : "Only take trades with sound signal that you had to wait for".
Trading stocks is the hardest thing I've ever done in my life, and I hope for it to also be the most rewarding thing I'll ever do.
Wednesday, December 5, 2007
Some thoughts..
This was supposed to go as a comment reply to my good friend Asaf (StockHunter), which is doing so well lately, but I decided to write it as an entire post:
It is so god damn hard!! sometimes I get such a frustrations like when I get out of trade that minute later is going my way HARD!
I think that I understand now how trading is gonna be like, I used to imagine it as a fast phase action that last the whole day, but then I realized that it's too stupid to "trade on instincts" , so I set myself the rule of not trading before 11am (so I could see nice setup intraday), and then the rule of trading at home so I could be more focused.
Now I see that I just need to wait, most of the day, for those 3-4 setups that we are so familiar with, and only when they come I should take them, not before, trading impulsively = big losses, trading like an experienced poker player is what I should do, "Fold" most of the day, not being fooled by the market noise, and just wait for clear justification that the trade that I took should work, and take it, get the profits fast, and wait again.
Let's hope December will be better, goal for this month is modest, only 400$, nothing more, little by little, after few up months, I'll higher my contracts size which is 1 right now, I just need the confidence first.
Tuesday, December 4, 2007
Yesterday -94$ today +37$
Wednesday, November 28, 2007
Tweety animation!
This is why I was away lately, I've been doing animation of tweety for some competition, it was a bit difficult to do animation after such a long period of time on which I didn't touch 3d animation at all, Hope you like it:
Wednesday, November 21, 2007
-87$ one of these days..
I started the day with a loser(1R), then a winner (1.5R), and from then it got messy, I kept trying to bet where the bottom will be, and go long, instead of just going with the flow, and short the market, I'm not sure how many times can I read the basic rule "The trend is your friend" and still not follow it, unpredictably enough the only good trades I made were on the short side..
In days like this, what I should do it stop try to fight the trend, wait something like 40 to 60 minutes recap myself, and begin the hunt for a good trade, today I was focused too much on the same false breakout, trying to win it all over again, and it didn't break the upper trend line of the downtrend.
Overall I wasn't in sync with the markets today (forcing long trades in downtrend), and I hope to do better tomorrow.
P.S - Tweety animation is coming along great, I'll post the result in the next few days.
Monday, November 19, 2007
+100$(net) means a nice day..
I like days like today, where everything is sain, all rules are kept, finishing the day with profit.. that's the way it always should be.
I stopped trading early today since I'm currently working on some 3d animation I'm doing to try and win free ski vacation (maybe in the alps!), I love snowboarding and I love 3d animation so the mix is perfect, here is a WIP (work in progress) from my animation:
Thursday, November 15, 2007
About -150$(net) - why?
Look, there are some days where I just shouldn't trade, and today is one of these days, I was having a nice start as always, but then I had about two or three bad trades and I just couldn't stop, I think the commissions I'm going to pay to MBT today is about 50$, which is way too much..
What happend? I wasn't in sync with the markets, I was taking impulsive trades, keep hopping from one trade to another, and two times I was about to get out of the minus, and had a trade moving 90$ my way, but then I let it turn into a loss!!!! that's why I said yesterday that I should always take about 70$, stop with the greed already! I should have had a good day if I would have sold some of the positions earlier..
Well now I feel crappy, I'm acually flat since September, all of the time spent learning the markets, trading, having the familier andrenaline rush you get when you trade impulsively(like today), having some quiet days like yesterday where everything adds up and is fine, and still, I seem to not be able to control my bad days.. I'll write myself notes from today and put them next to my screen..
Note#1 - "Stop with the greed, take minimal profit while you can (70$ / 3.5NQ pts).
Note#2 - "After having a bad trade, step back from the screen, don't get rushed into taking another trade so quickly".
Note#3 - "Always obey to the money management rules, if you are close to expose more than 100$ to the markets just finish the day, you will have a better day tommorow".
That's all for now, need to think more positive, and the results will come..
Wednesday, November 14, 2007
Moving on..
Things can go bad after going good.. October as a fertile month where I made 8% of my equity, but then started November and after a week or so I was down -9%, right now I'm -6%, but it's still negative number, so I'm not happy.
Why did it happen? because I didn't follow my daily stop loss rule, and lost in 1 day more than what I make in a few, which sux, at least it happened to me only once, so I know I can control it from now on, and I will not do it again.
Moving on to today.. +152.5$, finally profitable day after some time.. Monday for example I made 1.5$ after commissions, which is ridiculous but still it beats losing money :)
What I've learned this week? my risk number for now is 40$-50$ per trade, so when I say I'm up 3R today I mean I'm up 150$, so after playing with this technique for a week I saw that it really helps keeping track of your result.
What I came to realize from the experience of trading the NQ, is that I usually can risk 2 points(which is 40$, but 45.5$ after commissions and sometimes 50$ after slippage), and gain 3.5 points many times after a short period of time, so instead of trying to search for the holy-grail which we all know doesn't exist, so instead of trying to pump 5-10 points out of every 2 points risk trade, I'll try to get out after humble 3.5 points profit, and that way I can come faster to my desired daily profit.
Desired daily profit I said? well for my account anything from 120-150$ will be good, weekly desired profit for now will be as low as 300$ since my capital and experience is so low, it will get higher as I grow as a trader.
Today's action..
I'll put three trades, two winning and one losing:
Winner#1 - Speed!
I came and go quickly, as soon as I saw the downtrend channel break up, I went long, putting a sell order on my desired profit(3.5 points) and let the market work for me ;)
Loser of the day, even with slippage :
The call was right, the the uptrend did break and my short would have work should I take enter it again, but I came 4 minutes earlier, and my stop was too tight..
Winner #2 - It will go higher :
This one I took after I saw that the channel broke upward, I initiated long position with sell order 3.5 point higher, but as the market went, and as the other indices got up, I know NQ have to go higher, so I closed the sell order of 3.5 points higher, and put stop loss on the entry, and let the trade go, as it went by and started losing speed, I put sell order 4.5 points higher, and it got hit :)
Wednesday, November 7, 2007
Weired day..
I'm too tired to post charts, but they aren't that bright anyways, I took two trades today, and missed 10NQ points (200$ on 1 contract) short at 12:15, I wrote in my charts "paper trade short 2210, stop 2212, and it could have been the trade of the day, but I just couldn't pull the trigger, the problem was that I was right twice before (on paper too hehe), and couldn't believe I'm right again, so I just put another "paper trade" but this time it was very good trade :(
Well I'm glad I was profitable today anyways, ahh and a new rule I've got, since my money is running low I'll only risk 2R each day, which means 100$ max after commissions, that's why I quit yesterday when I was at -58.5, I couldn't take another trade because it could lead me to losing more than my daily stop loss.
I'm glad I'm finally obey my rules fully, I think I'll add some money soon so I could trade more than twice each day before I reach my daily stop limit, being under capitalized sux :)
At least when I started day trading I had what I call "tuition money cushion" which means I had a lot of money to throw away on stupid mistakes, and now that I'm smarter I think I'll refill the money.
Tuesday, November 6, 2007
Out of Sync lately..
Friday I was "trying" ES for the first time, and man is it fast... I managed to lose 179$ in a matter of seconds.. too bad I took a wrong trade..
Today (Monday) I was just out of sync, I'll need to focus for tomorrow if I wanna be profitable.. I took 3 trades today, the first I quit fast since I went to eat, and had a "gut feeling" it was wrong, it turned out to be a 10 points trade, but I quit after getting one point since I didn't believe in the trade:( and the rest of the trades were just silly.. nothing to go on too much, the third was on the right direction but then flipped and I already put my stop on the initial position, so I didn't lose too much money..
PNL today -58.5$, sux, but I'll live :)
Hope to do better tomorrow
Thursday, November 1, 2007
-143.5$ Losing day
I'm Glad I've got to listen to my trading plan, and don't feel bad at all about losing this money. long term I'll still win this game :)
Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Swings..
Tuesday, October 30, 2007
Great day! +238$
From now on I'll minimize my "overnight risk" as much as I can, I see that swing trading has given me 1/3 as much profits as day trading futures has given me, so I think that I'll stick to disciplined day trading.
I took only 1 day trade Monday, for a profit of 4 NQ pts (+75.5$ after commissions), I'll post chart later when I'll get my Internet connection home up and running.
I hope my positive attitude over trading will finally pay off, right now I'm in deep losses due to the initial mistakes of my day trading carrier, and I know that there are a lot of mistakes I shouldn't make again, and this "1 trade a day" method is the most relaxed I can, and doesn't encourage "overtrading", if I'll keep it going well until the end of November I'll start higher my size, and trade more contacts.
Trading is all about discipline, and patience, trading is the best field in the world, you discover yourself everyday, I really love trading, and sure glad my account had enough cushion to land on when I first started day trading and lost Hugh sums of money :)
If my plans continue accordingly I will be able to quit my job about 3 years from now, it might sound far, but I'll only be 26 by then, and hopefully a bit "richer" than today.
Friday, October 26, 2007
Weekly review
Swings have made me +120$ this week, even after the gap down of VDSI, so I think I'll continue swing trading until I see if it fits my trading style.
Hope you guys had a good week aswell.
Thursday, October 25, 2007
Gapping down :(
Today my swing position of VDSI have gapped down today and is now -33.95% only today, this have been my biggest nightmare, usually stocks gap down 10% max, and it is ok since other swings are winners and overall I'm usually up, but this is too much, the last straw? might just be.
I'll be thinking about it this weekend, I hate it when stuff like this happen, after I'm finally up 327$ on my day trade, which used to be harder for me than swing trade, I'm almost break even on the month results because of my swing trading.
Also, I think that I didn't day trade in the last few days because my mind was too busy thinking what should I do with the swing trading..
I think that swing trading is too stressful for me, and today's gap down have shown me what I hate the most about this style of trading, this unexpected stuff are terrible for business, in day trade you don't hold positions over night and therefore you go to sleep with the profit / loss that you had that day, and when you come back to trade a week later it remains the same..
I'll think about it over the weekend, any thoughts from my 2.5 readers?
Nothin' much..
I found out that trading require maximum concentration, so I won't trade while I'm at work, and I won't trade if I cannot focus on it, I think that tomorrow will be a nice day to trade.
Taking things easy, this means I don't rush myself into trades I don't feel sure about, I've found out that it's the best way to trade, but I've found it the hard way while losing a lot of money.
Yesterday I looked at my "expectations" xls file, where I fantasize about great results, and my "take is easy" way have conquer it too, I finally not putting too unrealistic results there, for example I want to make only about 300$ this month, sum of money which can be made in a day, right now I'm up 238$ this month, due to the crazy swings actions, if I take for account only day trade I'm up 327.5$.
And still, my expectations are that in about 2-5 years I will be able to quit my job, which means I'll have enough confidence and money in order to trade for a living, now that is a nice goal to aspire for!
Also, I'll try to test if my swing trading is good for my style of trading, I cannot afford myself making money day trade NQ emini and lose money swing trading, I'll give it a go for the next few months, let's see how it develops.
Monday, October 22, 2007
The market is going random!
Sunday, October 21, 2007
Weekly review. +55$
I think that by limiting my losses I can actually concentrate on maximizing my profits, but for now I'm happy with the results, my stats for the last two weeks is about 40$ a day on 1 contract, doing the same trading lets say 5 contracts, means making 200$ daily, that is a nice figure right there, but I won't increase size until I will be consistent with my profits for about two months, and then I will only increase my size by 1 contract, taking it easy, I cannot afford such a stress.
Some more personal stuff:
I'm about to buy mountain bicycles Saracen Ariel 2, I'm finally about to be cycling again, didn't do it since I was like 12 or so, last time it was in China going to far away villages, seeing how they live, I love exploring cultures..
Friday skydiving was nice, I did the Fourth level successfully, had some fun in the skydive itself but landed so far that they had to come pick me up with an ATV :) other than that I just relaxed a bit, thinking again about the stuff I wanna do with my 20's.. what I mostly want is to use the time that I don't have real commitment, wife, kids and stuff to explore the world, have fun traveling and seeing other cultures etc..
Have a good week.
Tom
Saturday, October 20, 2007
Wondering about trading..
I see that two of the bloggers (tyro, phileo)quit day trading for a while, and it makes me wonder..
Why do we all drawn into trading? well that's easy, it promises big money with little amount of effort, well the truth being is that it's "enough money" with "a lot of effort", just face it, we all go through a long journey before seeing the real money, lately I've had some consistency and it's still not enough to pay any of my bills, but what my advise would be to gain confidence in your ability to trade, save a lot of money working for a regular paycheck, and only then start trading for a living.
Trading is a style of life, and while it doesn't offer the same challenges as you have at your work, it offer something else, it offers freedom, yes, you've read correctly, freedom, and that is the ability to do your job (in our case trade) from anywhere on the planet, and be able to make as much money as you do at work and more (if you play your cards right), trading doesn't seem like a gamble to me, nor does it seem like something that needs luck, it's just a calculated risk vs calculated profit, you need to love it in order to dedicate a big chunk of your life into it.
I guess trading doesn't suits everybody's lifestyle, and it might be psychologically difficult to handle with days like last Friday (down day for all of the swing traders since the whole market went down), I still believe that if you think positive enough, you will be able to generate a positive results.
Friday, October 19, 2007
+60$ NQ, -230$ swings hehe
I call it a good day since I was able to make money in the NQ's. Anyways I'm glad I'm building my Futures day trading confidence, in the long term I can always decide which style suits me more, the reason I left swing trading a few months ago is a days like this, where all of the market is down and I only have Long swings, which are all red for the day, I had it happening to me many times and decided it is better for my health to day trade, not leaving money on the table over night.
But lately I saw that my day trading has developed to such extent that I can also continue swing trade and make some money "on the side".
Today's trade wasn't so exsiting so I will not post a chart, but again it was in one trade, bahh if I would just short at the beginning of the day and cover in the end... ez money lol :) but no one could have guessed the market will act so bazar lately.
Have a greet weekend,
And on the personal side, I've made a good skydiving jump today, I need 4 more to complete my AFF course and be able to jump out of airplanes alone.. (hehe I think all of us traders are a bit of andrenaline junkies, take dino for example surfing them waves : )
Thursday, October 18, 2007
+105$ and loving it :)
What happened?
A recipe for a good trader - First, lose money doing foolish mistakes, and promise yourself you never do them again, Second, lose even more money doing the same foolish mistakes, over trading, thinking "the next trade will save me for sure" and take trades without proper setup, try to scalp your way up, higher your quantity before you can handle 1 contract in NQ (or in stocks 1000 shares instead of just 100).
And Finally (step 3), after you promise yourself you wouldn't make mistakes again, lose enough money that will make you reflect on things for a month, and tell yourself "It's either I survive in this game, or go bust in less than a month..", and trade well, stop losing money, and even start making some.. just a little thought..
So you're asking what happened? I bet you do.. well I believe I'm in step 3, I finally lost enough money to shake my confidence in the business of day trading, and started actually to become cautious, I start following my trading plan by heart, disconnecting emotion from trading as much as I can, and cut losses so fast that two days ago I lost 70$ on 3 trades (2 losing 1 winning) and just finished the day, I cannot afford myself to lose a lot of money in one day, and that is the mistake I made in the start, I could lose 1000$ in one day (on small account!), now was I stupid or what?
Well enough with the educational part about losing money and stuff, and let's get to the report of the day:
Arriving home late after a relaxed day at work, I got back just in time to "miss" the 14:15 short, well at least I think it was a nice setup breaking the uptrend. I saw it with my own eyes, but wasn't able to take the trade since I still have some self confidence issues..
So I waited like a hawk, stocking his pray, which in this case was the NQ Future, and at 14:54 I decided I saw a setup of a double bottom and that the market will break up and took a long @ 2201, setting my stop at 2199.25 (below latest swing low), soon after I took the trade I had a little "heart attack" when NQ went down to 2200.
But hey, it's only a point down, so I stood my ground which in this case was the stop loss :), after seeing the NQ perform well, driving his friends the ES and YM up I figure it would be nice to set what I call a "stop win" at 2203.25, below the next swing low, and after a while (16 min in the trade) I sold at 2106.5, for humble 5.5 NQ pts, it's not a lot, but hey, it's money! :)
Here is the visual:
Oh and did I say Thank you NQ? ahh no, so 10Q NQ ;)
Have a nice day everyone!
Btw - another "1 trade a day", I think it's enough for me to find one good setup a day..
Wednesday, October 17, 2007
Things look better +130$
Today I've made only 1 trade since I see that whenever I overtrade I lose money, so I just took 1 trade and it's enough for me for today, I couldn't take the morning breakdown because I was at work, but at least I got to take the reversal.
At 14:26 I took 1 long NQ@2163.75 , which I took since the downtrend was breaking down and the 2nd resistance point of NQ was hit, also I saw that during the last few day NQ couldn't go lower than that point so I figure it is a strong support, soon after dealing with my "greed" issues, I sold my position at 14:42 @ 2170.5, which is a 6.75 NQ pts, give me this "much" points everyday and I'm happy, for now I trade only 1 contract, but in a few years when I'll have enough capital 6.75 pts with 10 contracts will be 1300$, which is almost half of my monthly salary today hehe :)
Notice it's not the end of the trading day just yet, but after a nice "performance" as this I'm finishing my day early, going to eat and stuff,
Have nice day
Tuesday, October 16, 2007
Yet another losing day -70$
Ok so the first trade I took was stupid, but it was stopped right after losing 2 NQ pts, and then I made another trade and decided to sell on profit after 2 NQ pts, so were even now right? Nope, commissions make me be on the downside at the beginning of the day.
Then I had spotted a beautiful setup, took it, and it actually ran 4 pts up, and I really wanted to sell 3.5 pts in up but greed have made me not to, I saw that the direction of the trend is changing against me and still waited for the initial stop loss, not good, at one point I wanted to quit at the entry and just be even, but stupidity didn't let me.
As for the rest of the day I had spotted two 5pts NQ moves and froze before taking them, so I decided to just quit the trading day very early, and put myself into a test, when I first day traded I would open my trading platform after saying I wouldn't, but nowadays I do all sort of thing in order to avoid it, yesterday I just went having fun with friends, and today I tested my self control and stayed home, with the computer, and yet didn't open my trading platform, that is why I said up there that I'm still happy with today.
Hope to have a better day tomorrow :)
Monday, October 15, 2007
Monday trades..
First of all I traded at work even thought I have a rule against it, so the trades were stressed, and not nice.
Since I'm new to NQ I didn't put myself auto stop loss like I have 10pts in YM, so after investigating the charts I set myself a rule of risking only 2 NQ points each trade, unless the market volatility grows (happens rarely).
You know what is freefalling? this is what I did with the futures today, just letting them fall on me, it's not good for business, also I traded against the main trend, even thought all markets confirmed that there might be a direction change.
The second trade was stupid, I didn't know how exactly should I risk so I just went on with the trade, and quit too early, it was eventually to be a winner but I sold at it's weakest point.
Note to self - next time you don't have time to trade, just don't.. you need a piece of mind in order to trade.
Friday, October 12, 2007
+5 points at NQ..
Thursday, October 11, 2007
The market did well today
I know it will happen from time to time, and I just need to think positive, it's was for the best that I didn't take long thinking the market would continue his longer term trend, but yeah, I could have made some nice money shorting today, lesson learned, do not hesitate, usually my calls are correct, and if not, so what? losing 50$ for winning 200$ is a good deal., even if I lose 3 times I still get to earn money in the long run.
This is how the first set up that made me freeze look like:
Wednesday, October 10, 2007
Good trading day today!
I got back from work (Israel.. I come back at about 12:30am your time), trying not to think about work too much, too many strange things happen lately, boss being bitchy etc, so after eating dinner I went to look at my stocks screen, which I'll soon cover (fairly simple), and lurked the futures good.
After watching some cool skydiving videos I saw that ES is about to make a move, and the volumes of NQ confirmed, so after my market compass (ES / YM / NQ) which was ES this time showed me that there is about to be a move, I looked at NQ, and figured I can risk 2 points to see if the market really changed direction in the second half of the day.
I tried buying NQ@2186 @ 13:45 but couldn't get a fill, I wanted this trade badly since ES was really showing it's about to change direction, so I put an order @2187 and got instant fill, had a small heart attack at 14:10 since NQ moved down to 2185.5, but then continued to trend nicely until I had enough and got out at 2192.5 (+5.5), I could of stayed in this trade and make more bucks but I had to go so I just sold as high as I could.
NQ Chart:
ES my humble market Compass of the day:
Tuesday, October 9, 2007
Swinging again!
VSEC did great for me today!
I hope my swing trading will improve with time, now that I'm posting I'll share my success and mistakes as I like learning from other people. just so you know I trade des woodruf style, after watching his videos I was inspired by the simplicity he put things on and a week after watching his videos I opened my own trading account :)
Saturday, October 6, 2007
Trading lightly lately..
Wednesday, September 12, 2007
Holidays in Israel..
I'm excited and happy to go to vacation from work, It's really about time to relax and enjoy.
Recently I've found the following forum post:
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=27286
There are so many good insights there, the guy who wrote it is a great man, and I feel as if he was talking exactly to me, he keep saying "This market will be here long after you and I will be dead, so there is no need to rush in and try to get all your money back in one day", which I totally agree with, in the days where I lost a substantial amount of money I thought I'd get it back all in the same day, and just winded up losing x4 more.
He also talks about the simplicity that trading should be, following a trend and making money while going with the flow, no fancy methods are needed in order to make money, and I totally into it, I don't over-analyze the market, and just tend to swim with the current trend.
I've realized something that happens to me lately is that I don't have time to trade (only about hour or so a day), so I try to get into trades without good signals, which is so bad.. so starting next week I'll go to the GYM before work, and leave enough time for trading so I won't rush into trades.
I really think I've grown as a trader and I'm much more mature now in my trading than I was 2-3 months ago.
I stopped doing mistakes like losing more than my daily stop loss, I don't take trades from other people, I don't trade when I cannot follow the trade, that's the latest improvements in my trading.
Need to improve:
1. Stop buying on spikes or when market gets crazy.
2. Start reading books or so while trading, otherwise I get bored and fall asleep and miss a good trades like yesterday's 50 points move.
3. Stop overtrading, the less amount of trades is the best usually.
4. Take time from trade to trade, otherwise you just take impulsive and bad trades.
Hope to get back on my feet soon,
Have a great week!
And to the Jewish folks reading my blog:
Shana Tova !
Saturday, September 1, 2007
Busy month..
I think I'll try to make more time for trading, since I've finally started trading with discipline, and that is of course the most important thing in the world of trading.
I haven't got much to say thought, I think that being in this field of day trading 3 months have taught me a lot, and I am finally starting to see the light in the end of the tunnel.
Setting life goals, that is what important, and my goal for the next two years is to master the art of day trading so much that I could trade from anywhere on the planet, and have myself an endless "vacation", travel all over the world, see all the nice places I wanna see, and basically just have fun while I live..
In two weeks I'm going to skydiving course, which will be so much fun, I just need to overcome my fear of heights and it'll be good :)
As for my trading, it's ok, I put myself rules, I start following them, and now only statistic will tell if I'll make money in the long run or not, I decided to stop trying to reach impossible goals, and just take day trading a day at a time, believing that the odds(statistic) is with me, and basically have faith.
I'm tried sick of saying "today I must make 200$!!", this is not the way to do it, I'm not dependent on my trading for a living just yet, so I don't really have to make the money, I release the pressure of seeking "fast gains", and put myself a goal to really learn the art of day trading, only when I make it, I will think of quitting my job and start day trading for a living from everyplace with Internet connection on earth.
Have a nice week,
Monday, August 13, 2007
Slowly but surely..
Let me explain why, in winning days, you are happy for being profitable, and it makes your account grow, but on winning days, usually what happens is that I look back at my big winning days thinking I'm going GOD MODE, and then I say to myself "nah.. I can't possibly lose money", and then a chain reaction happens that triggers me to just overtrade, taking every stupid setup I can think of, and then I lose x5 as much as I intended to lose, therefore I glad more for having a tight losing day, than a profitable day.
As for today, I made some money, and then noticed that the range between the high and low in the 15 minute chart is just too big for me, 40 points just going sideways is too much for my tight 10 points stop loss (YM), so after having my small share of profit, I just left the markets and watched a movie. I think that it's the smartest move I've don't in weeks, after I've had the nice winning streak week (triggering me going on "GOD MODE"), I kept thinking I was right all the time, and could just trade every market condition, well let's face it, I can't, and after realizing that, I decided to just earn my money day by day.
Today I've followed my plan well, made only 4 trades and finished profitable, I hope it's the beginning of a new era :)
Wednesday, August 8, 2007
When do you stop?
So here is what I realized yesterday, I should always start with my initial stop loss of the day (1.5% of capital), and once I'm up with profit, just move the -Daily stop loss- up, which means sometimes I can earn 100$ on a profitable day, or on days like monday when my method works well, I won't stop myself after earning 200$, but rather at 800$ profits, it's what they say "cut losers short, and let winners run" :) I always realized it on stocks, but now I starting to learn my lesson on my equity curve.
So many lessons to learn trading, let's hope I'll stop paying my tuition soon.
Saturday, August 4, 2007
Bad week.
This week I had been trading, thinking "my method is working, I don't have to stop with my stop loss limit of a day", at least I traded only 1 contract which made me lose less money than in my really bad days, but still, I should really stop trading after losing 1.5% of my equity, because after that each trade seem reasonable, even if it's 2 minute scalp of just 3 points, which makes you pay a lot of commission.
I know how to have good days of winnings, but what I need to control of is the losing days, not letting them effect my equity curve, and now they are just making it freefall everytime they happen, and if this keeps on, I'll be going bankrupt in a matter of weeks, this is how bad it has been, and now is the time to change.
I will have a losing days, everybody does, but that fact of the matter is that I need to make them as small as possible, and let the profitable days run.
Monday, July 30, 2007
Balance in trading.
Today I lost 66$ after commisions, which is ok since I only been infront of the market for 30 minutes combined, my sister came for a visit which made me happy, so I didn't have too much time to trade, I had so many missed opportunities, and when I was finally +80$ on the day after starting it in a -100$ loss, I managed to take few wrong calls and lose the profits, then I decided to stop the trading day and go eat dinner (at 22:40 israel time which is 15:40 USEAST time).
After last week, and today, I really believe that making money in the markets is easy when you follow your plan, as I said I'm going to reward myself each day I follow my plan, and not each day I make money, because sometimes (rarely) it's inevitable to lose.
Saturday, July 28, 2007
Great week!
Self discipline, this is the most important trait in day trading, without it you are lost, I've lost a lot of money in the last few week, sometimes 2K$ a day, but I still had faith, which led me to better understanding of what I am doing, I saw that whenever I stop the trading day, and paper trade, no emotions involved, I "make money", even if it's on paper, it convinced me that money can be made from the markets, it's just that I have to discover what in myself is not letting me grab it.
This week had been great since I traded only on signals, and not on "2 minutes scalp" that just got me losing money, I only did what my method had told me, except on monday when I lost 90$, which is not too bad since after losing that money I saw that keeping my way would have got me winning money, so to make stuff simple, discipline discipline discipline, this is the most important trait, if you can wait for the right moves, and just enter with speed and power, you can make a lot of money.
I noticed that most of this week I traded for about an hour, and still managed to make 1-2% on my account, which means that heavily overtrading is not recommended, when you can just wait for the 5-15 minute moves that just makes the day like in my last posts.
Friday, July 27, 2007
How I trade Futures
Money management:
This rules will keep you alive in the markets on the long run, and they are probably going to save you from having a heavy loss.
1. Risk only 1% of your account each day, once you got to that point of losing a percent, leave the computer, don't let your emotions take over.
2. Trade only 1 contract per each 11K$ in your account, if you trade more than that you will make money faster, but when you lose, you'll finish the day after 1 losing trade, which is bad statistics and the odds are against you to make money right on the first trade of the day.
3. Always move your stop loss in the direction of your trade, never against it.
4. Finish a day after making 2%, or if you traded a lot that day and you are going to pay a lot of commissions, just finish the day either in a minimum amount of profit, or with your daily risk money (%1 max!)
Technical analysis:
1. Enter on simple situations, like channel breakout, support break, or riding the trend the market is currently at, I find that what works most of the times is watching the 15 minutes chart for a channel (longer time frame trend) that is broken, usually after it breaks the market surge in the other direction.
2. Time frames setup - Look at the daily for long term trend, then on 3 days 60min chart for possible support and resistance levels, 15 minutes chart for the current trend, and 5 minutes chart for your entry, always look for confirmation that what you are doing is right in all of the time frames.
3. Pivot points and support and resistance - The experts are looking at it, so you must do it too, whenever you get close to one of those levels, scale out of the trade a little to minimize risk, usually the futures will get stuck in those levels, but once it breaks it, you can buy or short for a nice and FAST profits.
4. Exit method, stop loss at -10 points, profit taking is on the usual break of a trend, and when you are at 10 points profit, higher your stop loss to +5, this keeps you away from a side going market.
A little disclaimer - I'm not recommending anyone trading with his money, I do not offer trading advise , I merely here to post my progress, my technique, and the way I trade, in order to learn to do it better.
Wednesday, July 25, 2007
Getting control again.
Tuesday, July 24, 2007
Disciplined day.
Monday, July 23, 2007
Things could be better.
Tuesday, July 17, 2007
Bad Day..
Monday, July 16, 2007
Finally starting to pay off my tuition
I started the day going +135$, and then went down to +20$ after 3 bad trades, but I kept doing my best, not letting any good trade lose me money, and kept my stop loss the way I wanted, and it basically have been another good day.
I think that I pretty much understand how to make money in a days where the market does moves like today, Mini-sized dow (YM) moved about 130 points up and down intraday, and I took 54 net home, which doesn't seem so good, but it is for me since I want to make only 32 points a day average.
A mistake I didn't do today was not leaving a trade without a stop when you go to eat, at one point I was +12 points on a trade, and wanted to go to eat, so I just put a +5 points stop win and went to eat, a little reminder, this kind of behavior had cost me about 2000$ one day, when I was on 2 YM contracts and went eating pizza.
My profit / loss now is -23.9% since I started day trading Futures, and I finally start paying off my tuition which cost me so heavily (more than 4K$).
Saturday, July 14, 2007
Finally, losing day is not so big.
I realized that on days like Friday, where the market is almost not moving, it is hard to make money future trading, but after the market closed I paper trade it and saw that my method of waiting for 10 points gain, and if it happens moving the stop loss to +5 points, which means preserving profit, brought me +30 points on the day, I should always use it, but anyways it has been a good day as far as following my trading plan, and that's what matters.
My trading is developing rapidly, and I know that soon I'll be making money since in the long run, my method is working, I should just follow it, and wait for days like thursday where I extracted 60 points from the dow jones.
Have a good weekend and good bye for now.
Thursday, July 12, 2007
Yet, another good day
What I did today was just following the bigger trend, instead of fighting to understand where the market is going in the next couple of minutes, I started going with the flow, and I really got in sync with the market, today I had a very good discipline, my stops were reasonable, I didn't get away from the computer without having a stop loss market order in my broker, and it saved me once.
I had to go help out my dad for a couple of minutes, so I put a stop loss in the broker, and when I came back I saw that I lost Internet connection, and when the Internet did work I saw that YM was down 20 points from where I entered, but my stop loss was 5 points above my entry (what we call stop win:), so I managed to earn money while not even watching the computer, I really believe that I'm developing in my trading every day.
Today I had 90% winners, which is usual for days that have certain main trend, I just join the market on the move and watch my profits run, +60 points on the day is very good for me, my goal is to get +32 a day average, so when my account grow I'll just add to my quantity, which is now 1 since my account size is so small, I'm not trying to reach the sky, but getting 32 points a day can be achieved in 2 hours of work.
On the personal side, I've just had a nice BBQ with my friends and it was really fun watching them all on my birth day, I think this is going to be my best b-day yet :)
Wednesday, July 11, 2007
It's my birthday!!
Last two days have been bad, I've repeated my old mistakes, and I glad to say that I think I found the reason.. It's something in me that I have to change, I'm changing it lately but it's still there.
You know it when you drive you car, and the other driver doesn't let you pass? so after you do pass him, you start rushing ahead "making up" for the lost seconds of when the other driver didn't let you pass? well.. maybe you guys aren't like me, but I'm one hell of an impatient guy, I can't wait a second, since I was a little kid I wanted it all here and now.
Now it's time to change, being a day trader require some core characters, for example diligence, you must see the light at the end of the tunnel, positive thinking, you must believe you will make it, self dicipline, you must be able to put your stops on the right place, these and more the the required day trader's characters.
But the one I lack most is "Patiance", this is the key element I lack, today I took 3 "Home run" trades, each given me about 120$ gain on 1 YM contract, and I still didn't finish the day green.
I've made so many "rush trades" that came without any real trigger, I was just simply bored.. and thought I'm right, this what got me to lose money the last few days, from now on I promis myself, I'll be more patiance, I will trade only on real trigger, and not a "revenge scalp trades" which I made, yesterday I even rise my quantity to 2 contracts so it made my losses bigger, I think after making the same mistakes twice, I learned my lesson, at least I hope I do, because this tuition becomes very expensive.
I still think positive, and know I'll make it trading, but I see that I still have a lot to learn, good bye for now
Monday, July 9, 2007
I've had a bad day today, looking at the day I made only about 3 mistake trades out of 14 trades, which makes me think I improved, but still I'm not exceeding my expectations, which is trade my method and always make money.
The mistakes today consisted of not following my method, which manifests itself as one of the trades I took, was after the trend line broke down, I took a long position to try and stay with the current uptrend, and that was a mistake, my trading style says that after a trend line is broken, I sell the current position and short / buy long to the opposite direction.
Right after mistake #1 I took a short too low, which I then decided to stop before it hit my stop loss (-10 points), and the trend kept going down right after I covered my short, it seems like one mistake leads to the next, tomorrow I'll try to avoid both.
This is how the market looked today :
My method, in paper trade, produced only 9 points today, which is unusual to my method, because usually it produce at least 25 points, I guess it's just happened to be a day where the market didn't move so much, and deceived my method a lot (false breakout of trends etc.).
My method usually means going with the current trend, get in sync with the market, and when it catches the market, it should make me nice profits.
Saturday, July 7, 2007
I'm changing a bit my trading method, I've tested a new rule and it will help me earn money in days where the market is going a bit sideways at times, tested on friday I could of gotten 52 points with 15 trades all day.
It goes like this :
As usual I buy and sell on support and resistance, if I'm riding a trend and he is breaking I'm just quiting with the profit of the trend.
1. Stop loss stays at -10 points.
2. Profit taking is the following :
A. The usual trend breaking profit taking (Ex. YM went from 13517 to 13526, and then the trend broke down at 13524 and I take 7 points profit).
B. And this is the improvement, If I'm at 10 points gain, and the market goes against me, I take 5 points gain home, and if the market keep going my way I buy back 10 points more than my entry. I'll explain it with screen shots of trades the following days.
Friday, July 6, 2007
Having a bad week.
1. Don't scalp in futures trading, the commissions will eat you alive.
2. Keep your stop loss, if you don't you get to a point of losing 20 dollars here, 20 dollars there, and then you "scalping" your way to losing money, what happened to me this week is that I went out of trades before my stop loss have been met, on false alerts, while the market was going sideways, I lost a lot of money trying to join the next market move.
3. Keep the method simple, buy on breakout of resistance, or in a forming trend, don't guess the market next 2 minutes trend, just go with the flow, I could have gotten 30 points Friday without a sweat, but instead I just scalp my way up, which means I took about 19 points, maybe less including commissions.
4. Don't ever set unrealistic goals, like 500$ a day (on 1 contract), just because you feel like that, because it will cause what happened to me Friday, which is averaging up (buying another contract on the top of the trend), and then when Dow went down few points, all of my profit was lost due to the other contract, basically don't trading more than you can handle to lose, for me 2 contracts is too much for you now, and it caused me coming from a profit of 150$, to losing 130$ Friday.
I hope it will help me form somewhat of a trading rules in futures trading, learning from mistakes is the best way to evolve as a day trader, and I would like to help you guys learn from my mistakes.
Have a great week end!